Don’t be so sure.
A forecast that I read this morning: ‘Pointing to a ConservativeHome pollwhich shows Mrs Badenoch beating all other candidates among Tory activists, the source added: “She is clearly the favourite with the members, and MPs will want to make sure that the members’ favourite is in the final two.”’
Oh yes? I might hope that MPs might be smart enough to remember that Liz Truss was the members’ favourite, and before her, Boris.
Categories: Politics
Quintin Jardine's blog 
The problem with Conservative activists is they choose the most radical candidate who prefers spectacle to substance. Being a true conservative is to conserve what is working and change what is not. Conservatism is not slash and burn. The British Conservative Party does well when it appeals to the centre and shows itself to be competent and common sensical. Both Boris Johnson and Liz Truss failed on both counts.
I hear what you’re saying, but the majority of the electorate in question are not activists, nor have they ever been. 90% of them are over 50 and white and they will vote for the person they like best.